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Gold Price Technical Analysis (XAUUSD): Assessing a Corrective Scenario and Price Targets

December 28, 2025
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Gold Price Technical Analysis (XAUUSD): Assessing a Corrective Scenario and Price Targets

Gold Price Technical Analysis (XAUUSD): Assessing a Corrective Scenario and Price Targets

In the dynamic world of forex trading, gold price technical analysis remains a key focus for professional traders. Recent price movements in gold, dating from late October 2025, clearly indicate the start of a corrective phase in the broader market trend. In-depth review shows that fundamental conditions haven’t significantly changed, and analysts are revisiting the corrective pattern type. This underscores the importance of understanding volatility in Gold price technical analysis.

Expanded Flat Correction Pattern on the XAUUSD Chart

Currently, chart evidence suggests that the global ounce price is forming a complex corrective pattern known as an Expanded Flat. This pattern typically occurs when the market lacks enough momentum to continue the main trend and expects to retrace to lower support levels. To better grasp these concepts, traders should regularly study market reports and analyses at our Market Education and Analysis reports to swiftly identify price behavior changes.

  • Expanded Flat pattern often comes with deceptive volatility.
  • Accurate identification of corrective waves helps reduce trading risk.
  • Gold price often tests liquidity levels during this phase.
  • Discipline in analysis is key to success in a volatile gold market.

Upper Bound and Invalidation Level of the Corrective Scenario

Every credible market analysis requires a clear invalidation level. In the current scenario, the upper price boundary sits at 4571. If gold price can decisively break above this level and stay above, the corrective scenario would be invalidated. In that case, traders should shift their view toward continuing the uptrend. For real-time event tracking, follow the daily headline review at Top News Headlines.

Forecast for Wave C Movement and Bearish Price Targets

According to the likely Elliott wave scenario, after the ongoing fluctuations, a rapid and powerful downward move labeled Wave C should begin. The price drop could start from current levels or after a local new high. Based on data from the source, the following price targets are anticipated:

  • First target around 3940.
  • Second and more important target at 3769.
  • The possibility of further declines if selling pressure intensifies.

After prices reach these targets, a strong price rebound is expected. This rebound will eventually resume the long-term uptrend. Smart traders use these corrections to rebalance their portfolios at more attractive prices.

 

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What is the current corrective pattern in the Gold (XAUUSD) chart and what does it signify?

According to technical analysis, the price of Gold is forming a corrective pattern known as an “Expanded Flat.” This pattern indicates that despite maintaining the overall structure, the market needs to return to lower support levels to gain the necessary liquidity and momentum to continue its trend.

At what price is the invalidation level for the corrective scenario in Gold set?

The 4,571 level is identified as the upper boundary and the invalidation point for the corrective scenario. Price stabilization above this level would signal the end of the current corrective pattern’s validity and the potential start of a new bullish trend.

What are the predicted price targets for the bearish Wave C in the Gold analysis?

Two main price targets have been identified for the upcoming downward movement: the first target is around the 3,940 level, and the second, more significant target, is located at the 3,769 level.

What market reaction is expected once Gold reaches these bearish targets?

After the price hits the support levels in Wave C (especially the 3,769 range), a strong price reversal or rebound is expected, which will ultimately drive the price toward the main long-term bullish trend.

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